Quarterbacks
Bryce Young ($5.8K) @ New Orleans Saints
Young gets a matchup indoors against a Saints’ defense allowing the seventh-most schedule-adjusted fantasy points to quarterbacks this season. The Saints and Panthers are the two fastest paced teams in the NFL, and this game has a healthy total (48.5 points). Treat Young as a top 12 fantasy QB this week, so he’s a DFS option.
Tyler Shough ($5.6K) vs. Carolina Panthers
Shough is the QB4 in fantasy points and the QB1 in expected fantasy points this season if we remove the game against the Vikings. He’ll benefit from Jordyn Tyson running more routes and from a matchup that should be at a lightning pace. Shough is a top 10 fantasy QB this week and a DFS target.
Geno Smith ($4.8K) vs. Buffalo Bills
Smith has averaged 17.5 fantasy points at home this season, and he should see increased volume this week; Bills’ opponents own the league’s second-highest pass rate (62.7%). The Jets should get Garrett Wilson back, so New York suddenly has a nice set of weapons including rookie Omar Cooper and Adonai Mitchell. Smith is a top 15 fantasy QB this week with a bargain DFS salary.
Others: Brock Purdy ($7.0K), Dak Prescott ($6.4K), Michael Penix ($4.9K)
Running Backs
Christian McCaffrey ($8.5K) @ Dallas Cowboys
McCaffrey saw 21 opportunities following San Francisco’s bye last week, and he’ll continue to be busy with Mike Evans out again. The Cowboys have been gashed for the most schedule-adjusted fantasy points by running backs this season, and the 49ers are tied for the league-high in team total (30.5 points) this week.
Chuba Hubbard ($7.2K) @ New Orleans Saints
Jonathon Brooks may return this week, but Hubbard is likely to remain Carolina’s lead back. The Saints have allowed the second-most schedule-adjusted fantasy points to running backs this season. This game should feature a ton of plays, and Hubbard is a borderline top five fantasy back this week.
Zach Charbonnet ($5.6K) @ Las Vegas Raiders
Charbonnet led Seattle’s backfield last week, when he badly outplayed rookie Jadarian Price. Charbonnet led all running backs in yards after contact per attempt in just his second week back from a torn ACL, whereas Price ranked toward the bottom of the league. The Seahawks will likely go run-heavy while starting a banged-up Drew Lock and as near touchdown favorites. The Raiders have allowed the most yards before contact per attempt and RB rush yards per game (132.1!) by a mile this season.
Others: Kenneth Walker ($9.2K), James Cook ($7.4K), Breece Hall ($5.9K)
Wide Receivers
CeeDee Lamb ($8.8K) vs. San Francisco 49ers
Lamb should continue to see increased work with George Pickens out or banged up against a pass-funnel San Francisco defense; 49ers’ opponents own the league’s sixth-highest pass rate (60.3%). THE BLITZ projects Lamb to score 27.5 DK points this week, comfortably ahead of JSN. Dallas sports a strong team total (25.5 points), and the 49ers are stingy against the run.
Jordyn Tyson ($5.0K) vs. Carolina Panthers
Tyson was the talk of New Orleans’ camp before multiple hamstring injuries derailed his rookie season, and he can be a fantasy difference maker down the stretch. Tyson saw just a 35% route share and lost a fumble during his NFL debut last week, but he earned five targets with strong underlying peripherals in the small sample. Tyson ran 50% of his routes out of the slot and was used frequently in motion, so he’ll benefit greatly from a New Orleans environment that also ranks third in pass attempts per game.
Tyson may not replace Devaughn Vele right away, but the Saints use 3WR sets nearly 70% of the time and will target their prized rookie when on the field. Tyson is fully expected to see a bigger role this week.
KC Concepcion ($4.8K) vs. Houston Texans
Concepcion could see more targets with both Denzel Boston and Harold Fannin Jr. nursing injuries. Concepcion faces a Houston defense allowing the third-most schedule-adjusted fantasy points to wide receivers this season. Concepcion led the Browns with a 93% route share in Week 9, when he had his seventh game this season with at least a 20% target share.
Others: Justin Jefferson ($6.8K), Ryan Flournoy ($5.3K), Tank Dell ($3.9K), Reggie Virgil ($3.4K)
Tight End
George Kittle ($6.5K) @ Dallas Cowboys
Kittle’s targets should jump with Mike Evans sidelined again this week. Deebo Samuel could return, but he’s more of a gadget player, and newcomer Keenan Allen will likely see limited snaps. Kittle leads all tight ends in targets per route run and could erupt in a matchup indoors with a whopping 55.5-point total.
Others: Tyler Warren ($4.4K), Colby Parkinson ($3.0K), Elijah Higgins ($2.5K)