Quarterback Starts
Jared Goff @ Arizona Cardinals
Goff hasn’t been home dependent over the last two years, and he gets a fast-paced matchup indoors this week. The Lions own a league-high 30.5-point team total, and the Cardinals have allowed the fifth most fantasy points to quarterbacks despite facing Justin Herbert, Drew Lock and Jameis Winston.
Jacoby Brissett vs. Detroit Lions
Brissett’s 5.4 YPA mark is ugly, but volume should be there Sunday; a home matchup against Detroit with a massive 54.5-point total. Lions’ opponents have all registered a 7+ percent pass rate over expected this season. Brissett has faced a difficult schedule over the last few weeks, and he’s been the QB7 in expected fantasy points per game this year. The Lions have allowed the most QB fantasy points by a significant margin, including an 11:2 TD:INT ratio. Even if the stats come in garbage time, they count all the same in fantasy. Brissett is a borderline top five QB this week.
Running Back Starts
Jaylen Warren vs. Indianapolis Colts
Warren looks like a top 10 fantasy back if Rico Dowdle remains sidelined, and he’ll benefit from a home matchup in which Pittsburgh is favorites over Indy this week. The Colts have ceded the eighth most fantasy points to running backs this season, and Warren saw a 97% snap share with Dowdle out last week. Dowdle returned to a limited practice Thursday, but he’s coming off a “gruesome” injury and would likely be eased back in should he be active.
Bhayshul Tuten vs. Philadelphia Eagles (London)
Tuten recorded season-highs in snap share (57%), route share (40.7%) and touches (19) last week, when he also had both a 44-yard touchdown and a goal-line TD called back by penalties on separate drives. Chris Rodriguez had a rushing score, but Tuten saw Jacksonville’s lone carry inside the 10. Tuten leads all running backs in percentage of carries to gain 3+ yards after contact and has impressive stats across the board.
More targets would be nice, but the rookie back is trending toward taking over Jacksonville’s backfield. Tuten should benefit from a positive game-script in London against a decimated Eagles’ team with a depleted roster that looks unrecognizable.
Braelon Allen vs. Cleveland Browns
Allen was a fantasy disappointment last week, but a wild game-script that saw the Jets run just 32 offensive plays was to blame. Allen finished with a 94% snap share and was given every RB touch; game-script should be much different this week with New York favorites at home. Allen has performed well when given the opportunity this season, and he should get another chance in fantasy lineups if Breece Hall sits again this week.
Wide Receiver/Tight End Starts
Michael Wilson vs. Detroit Lions
Wilson has been fantasy’s WR20 to open the season, but he’s been the WR7 in expected fantasy points. He’s led the league in targets (28) and end-zone targets (four) over the last two weeks, when he’s recorded a 42.6% first-read target rate. Wilson was a complete afterthought with Marvin Harrison Jr. on the field last season, but the reverse has been true in 2026.
Wilson is due for positive regression, while Harrison fades away as a trade candidate, and Jeremiyah Love battles a new ankle injury. Wilson was the WR36 in composite ADP, but he should be ranked as a borderline top five WR in a prime matchup versus a struggling Lions’ defense this week.
Luther Burden III @ Green Bay Packers
Burden’s route share has been lower than expected this season, but he’s been targeted at a high rate; his TPRR puts him as the WR11. Both D’Andre Swift and Kyle Monangai enter banged up, and there’s an argument Chicago’s pass catchers benefit from the Bears’ backup QBs remaining more on script than Caleb Williams. “Truther” Burden hasn’t lit the league on fire as some hoped, but he’s trending in the right direction and belongs in starting fantasy lineups. The Packers have ceded the fifth most schedule-adjusted WR fantasy points this season.
Dalton Kincaid @ Los Angeles Rams
Kincaid has experienced a major drop in production over the last two weeks, but expect Joe Brady to make a point of getting his tight end involved during a fast-paced matchup Monday night. Kincaid leads all tight ends in yards per route run this season, when he’s recorded more receiving yards than Trey McBride despite seeing 27 fewer targets. Put differently, Kincaid leads all tight ends in receiving yards while ranking 16th in targets and 21st in routes run.
The Rams have been tough on all pass catchers this season - no one has reached 50 receiving yards against Los Angeles - but this indoors matchup has a 54.5-point total, and DJ Moore will be sidelined or compromised. Keep Kincaid in fantasy lineups (and grab Keon Coleman where available).
Sits & Fades
Jalen Hurts @ Jacksonville Jaguars (London)
The Eagles have been one of the NFL’s worst offenses under new OC Sean Mannion, when Philadelphia has used play action at a league low rate. Hurts could benefit from volume against a pass-funnel Jacksonville defense, but the Eagles could be missing DeVonta Smith, Saquon Barkley, Dallas Goedert and Lane Johnson. The team also just traded its center Cam Jurgens.
Hurts’ rush attempts (including designed) have been down this season, and Philadelphia owns the league’s second lowest team total (16.5 points) this week – even lower than Miami’s. Hurts can always punch in a couple of short scores any game, but he’s a bench candidate this week.
Omarion Hampton vs. Denver Broncos
A fourth quarter touchdown in garbage time somewhat saved Hampton’s fantasy day last week, but he continues to be one of this year’s biggest busts. Hampton finished third in snap share (32%) and route share (22%) among running backs on his own team last week and second in opportunity share (31.4%). He’s been the RB29 in expected fantasy points over the last two games.
Hampton is clearly a poor fit for Mike McDaniel’s zone-heavy scheme, and Jim Harbaugh expressed no plans to change the team’s three-headed timeshare. The Broncos haven’t been as stingy against the run to open 2026, but a tough schedule is partially to blame, and the Chargers could be missing tackles Rashawn Slater and Joe Alt. Hampton was drafted as the RB10 in composite ADP – sandwiched between Kenneth Walker and Derrick Henry – but he’s become a touchdown dependent flex play in fantasy leagues.
Tony Pollard vs. Houston Texans
Pollard is in a tough spot this week facing a Texans’ run defense allowing just 3.4 YPC. Running backs have averaged only 76.3 rushing yards against Houston, and game-script could be a problem with the Titans more than touchdown underdogs. Tennessee owns a league-low 14.5-point team total, making Pollard a bench candidate this week.